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04.11.2018 12:05 PM
2018年11月02日全球宏观概述

美国劳工市场报告(NFP)指出,10月份就业人数增加了25万,远高于预期的20万人。 9月数据已下调至118,000(此前为134,000),这两个数字可以用飓风造成的干扰来解释。传统上,主要关注的是工资动态,按预期环比下降0.2%,同比下降3.1%。根据预测,失业率维持在3.7%。除了与就业的混淆之外,报告的其余部分并不是令人惊讶的来源,因此美元的温和反应是合理的。

现在让我们来看看H4时间框架下的美元指数技术图。在新的波动高点达到97.21之后,市场感受到上涨通道。冲动波下跌已经完成了96.00的水平,从那时起市场正试图再次继续反弹。好于预期的美国就业市场数据推动价格上涨至技术阻力位96.40。超卖交易条件支持短期看涨偏见,因此在熊市试图控制市场之前,价格甚至可能达到96.87的水平。

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