empty
 
 
15.02.2019 04:06 PM
Brexit divided Wall Street into two camps: Goldman is waiting for a deal while JPMorgan is not

As the Brexit crisis deepens, the two giants of Wall Street have completely different views on the final result. Goldman Sachs sees a 50 percent probability of a ratified deal while JP Morgan talks about the postponement. If British Prime Minister Theresa May cannot agree on a Brexit deal with Parliament, she will have to decide whether to put Brexit on hold or plunge the world's fifth largest economy into chaos.

This image is no longer relevant

Goldman Sachs with a probability of 50 percent believes that May deal will be ratified. Additionally, lawmakers will ultimately block the exit without a deal, if necessary. The probability of exit without a deal is 15 percent and the total cancellation of Brexit is about 35 percent. "There is a majority in the House of Commons who wants to avoid Brexit" without a deal ", but there is no majority in the House of Commons ready to support the second referendum, at least at this stage," noted Goldman.

JPMorgan believes that May will seek to extend the deadline for approval until March 29. "We still believe that it is likely for the Prime Minister, instead of allowing unsuccessful voting and subsequent ministerial resignations, will try to act proactively and will seek to extend the deadlines," the company noted. The divergence of views of the two most influential banks on Wall Street shows how diligent investors in reading the maze of charts on the eve of Brexit, which is the most significant political and economic movement of the United Kingdom since the Second World War. Recall that most large banks incorrectly predicted the results of the 2016 referendum.

Irina Maksimova,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit akaun anda sebanyak $3,000 dan dapatkan $1000 lebih lagi!
    Dalam April kami membuat cabutan bertuah $1000 dalam Kempen Chancy Deposit!
    Dapatkan peluang untuk menang dengan membuat deposit $ 3000 ke dalam akaun dagangan. Setelah memenuhi syarat ini, anda menjadi peserta kempen.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Daftar untuk peraduan dan tambah dana akaun anda dengan sekurang-kurangnya AS$ 500 untuk layak memenangi peranti mudah alih.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Bonus 100%
    Peluang istimewa anda untuk menerima bonus 100% pada deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 55%
    Dapatkan bonus 55% pada setiap deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 30%
    Dapatkan bonus 30% setiap kali anda membuat penambahan dana akaun anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget